As we have discussed in OODA network meetings and our reporting since the beginning of renewed Russian hostilities against Ukraine, assessing the likelihood of war was relatively easy. We listened to what Putin was saying and understood Russian history, culture and Putin’s imperial ambitions and assessed early that he had made up his mind to invade. But as soon as the war started it became much harder to project the course of events. War is the ultimate competition and surprise must be expected.
That said, we did project that as Russia’s attempt at a US style shock and awe maneuver war campaign failed they would revert back to their old style of horrendous destruction. Sadly that is exactly what happened. It was also easy to make the broad prediction that Putin may seek ways to declare a victory and seek to end hostilities with some sort of gains. Based on propaganda shifts over the last few days there are indications that Putin is seeking to shift to this approach.However, the war is still on and no one can say with any certainty what happens next. This situation calls for scenario planning.
This special report is a guide into some of the darker sides of AI deployments.
When fielded incorrectly, AI can do more harm to your business than good. Rogue AI can damage brands, invoke bad decisions and cause your organization to unintentionally fall out of compliance with regulations or potentially even break the law. It is important to remember that whenever we enter into a period or advanced innovation, adversaries also seek to exploit those innovations. In the case of AI, adversaries are already using this technology for nefarious ends.
Over the years it has been very exciting to watch the incredible innovations around Bitcoin and Ethereum and other projects in the crypto space. And there have been huge disappointments in statements by government leaders over the years, many of which have really said disparaging things about the movement. There are still some real haters in government, but two things occurred in March 2022 that signal a big change.
The study of mental models can improve your ability to make decisions and improve business outcomes. This post, part of our series on Decision Intelligence, reviews the mental models we recommend all business and government decision makers master.
Retired Air Force Colonel John Boyd was an early advocate for the study of mental models in competitive environments. In 1976 he published a paper titled Destruction and Creation which explored how to develop mental models for dynamic/chaotic environments. His later articulation of the OODA Loop flowed from this pioneering work on mental models.
What follows is a review of the top models we recommend modern leaders master.
The megatrend of Artificial Intelligence is transforming the algorithms of business in exciting ways. This reference, aimed at the business decision-maker, will help you make the most of AI in your organization. It provides clear articulations of fundamental concepts, succinct examples of highly impactful use cases, and tips you can put in place to ensure your AI projects stay on track to deliver value. We keep this online reference updated so you will always have access to the best of our thoughts.
Guide For Business: Final checks for reducing risks in the face of nation state cyber attacks based on White House advisory
The President has just announced he has indications that the Russians are targeting our national infrastructure for a possible cyberattack, saying all companies should prepare and raise defenses asap.
This is an important announcement that should be taken seriously by all companies in every sector of the economy and by individuals as well.
Lifelong Hacker and Experienced Security Executive Alyssa Miller, Author of Cybersecurity Career Guide
Alyssa Miller is a life-long hacker and highly experienced security executive who has a passion for security and the security community. She is an excellent advocate for continuous improvement in the community and a frequent speaker to audiences of both fellow business leaders and security community audiences. This combined with her deep experience in the industry makes her the perfect person to research and write the Cybersecurity Career Guide. The guide is a much needed resource for our community.
We are witnessing the world’s first war where open source intelligence is providing more actionable insights than classified sources. Here are views on what this shift means for governments, businesses, NGOs and Citizens.
Every year the US intelligence community produces a succinct report designed to provide a high level overview of threats. This is issued to coincide with testimony by the Director of National Intelligence and the biggest agencies of the IC, CIA, DIA, NSA and FBI.
This year’s report follows a theme that the world is growing in complexity and uncertainty. This complexity and uncertainty occurs in an interconnected world where great power competition is clearly underway.
As we have previously mentioned, the Russian aggression against Ukraine will have impacts far beyond the region. All companies and all government organizations (including those at local and state levels) should evaluate the potential impact of these hostilities on operations. This post is the next in a series of reports on this threat and mitigation measures.