Featured Analysis
David Greenberg on Decision-making in Volatile Markets
While the OODA Loop was been heralded in the domain of conflict, we often find the concept in business and there is no greater business analogy to dogfighting that David Greenberg’s experience as a trader on the floor of the world’s largest physical commodities exchange. David’s job required rapid decision making based on constantly changing information and the mental fortitude to move onto the next decision and rapidly learn from both successes and mistakes. In addition to his work as a trader, David also guided the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) through its largest period of growth and through a digital transformation.
In this OODAcast, David shares his story and talks about how to make decisions in complex environments, but also developing the mental resiliency to deal with rapid change and impactful mistakes. David also shares his experiences from 9/11 and how one tiny circumstance saved his life and re-focused his energy on helping others.
OODAcon 2022 and Periods of Economic Downturn as a Climate for Innovation Discussed by the June 2022 OODA Network Member Meeting
To help members optimize opportunities and reduce risk, OODA hosts a monthly video call to discuss items of common interest to our membership. These highly collaborative sessions are always a great way for our members to meet and interact with each other while talking about topics like global risks, emerging technologies, cybersecurity, and current or future events impacting their organizations. We also use these sessions to help better focus our research and better understand member needs. To encourage openness of discussion, these sessions take place with Chatham House rules, where participants are free to use the information in the meeting but are asked not to directly quote or identify other participants (we also keep privacy in mind when preparing summaries of these sessions, like the one that follows).
The June call was held on Friday, June 17th. The call began with an announcement by OODA CEO Matt Devost about OODAcon 2022 to be held on October 18, 2022. Topics discussed on the call included: Is the World Going into an Economic Slowdown?; Cybersecurity and Innovation during an Economic Downturn; Cybersecurity: Entrepreneurial Management and Business Model Innovation; The Quantum Computing, Quantum Communications, and Quantum Security Markets; and General Feedback from the OODA Network on Topics, Filtering, and Curation of Future OODA Loop Research. Links and Resources from the Meeting Chat are also included in this post.
Autonomous Everything: The First Autonomous Ship Crosses the Atlantic Ocean
The Mayflower Autonomous Ship Project (MAS400) is a collaboration between ProMare and IBM Research. The project is also affiliated with the Submergence Group, A U.K. company that “designs and manufactures manned and unmanned submersibles. In a voyage lasting 40 days and conquering approximately 3,500 unmanned miles at sea, the Mayflower Autonomous Ship arrived in North America in Halifax, Nova Scotia on June 5, 2022…with no human captain or onboard crew, MAS is the first self-directed autonomous ship with technology that is scalable and extendible to traverse the Atlantic Ocean.”
The Future of Cyber Conflict: The Market for Global Cyber Surveillance Capabilities
It has been reported recently that L3Harris looks to buy NSO Group. In the shadow of this discouraging market activity, we return to a research report released by The Atlantic Council in November of last year entitled “Surveillance Technology at the Fair: Proliferation of Cyber Capabilities in International Arms Markets” as part of their Cyber Statecraft Initiative. In the report, the Council researchers place the availability of cyber capabilities in the context of the mature marketplace represented by annual international arms markets (which is a really creative framework for research on the growth of cyber-surveillance capabilities in the private sector). Following is an analysis of the major findings of the report.
Increasing China’s U.S. Cyber Espionage Allegations Support Internet Governance Aspirations
Recently, Chinese media has published articles about a report provided by Burmese-based Anzer, a cybersecurity company that detailed alleged U.S. military and government agencies efforts to remotely steal more than 97 billion pieces of global Internet data, and 124 billion phone records in the last 30 days. The report specifically details the suspected involvement of the National Security Agency’s Tailored Access Operations (TAO), an elite cyber group believed to be involved of some of the United States’ more surreptitious cyber activity. Anzer’s report supposedly revealed another weapon platform – “boundless informant” – a tool that allows for big data summary analysis and visualization. At this time, attempts to acquire this report have not been successful, and it information pertaining to it has been made available through news sources, many of them English versions of Chinese outlets, and even mentioned in China’s Foreign Ministry spokesman’s press conference remarks.
