28 Oct 2022

Cybersecurity is an Infinite Game

Game theory, the study of competition and conflict, tells us there are two types of games: Finite Games and Infinite Games. Knowing which one you are playing is key to making optimal decisions. Finite games are those that have a beginning and an end. The objective of a finite game

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13 Jul 2022

Blockchain For CEOs

CEOs often ask me: “What is blockchain, and what impact will it have?” After tapping into Forrester’s research, here’s my answer. Blockchain is a computer program that lets two parties exchange value in a trusted and verifiable way, even if they don’t know or trust each other. Depending on the

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11 Jul 2022

The OODA C-Suite Report: Operational Intelligence for Decision-Makers

What is the value of an informed decision? At OODA Loop, we seek to surface decision intelligence that provides meaningful perspective for leaders and analysts looking to make the most informed decisions possible. The topics examined in this assessment represent developments that fit the category of operating in a VUCA world, identifying and responding to Gray Rhino risks, or opportunities from advancements in emerging technology domains. These are issues we think our members should be tracking and map to collection requirements for our team to keep you as informed as possible.

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16 Jun 2022

The US Economy And Entrepreneurship From A Technologist Perspective

For months the OODA C-Suite Report has underscored for our readers to expect a slowdown in the global economy. Many who track the explosion of government spending plus quantitative easing plus low interest rates came to similar conclusions, especially after the Russian attacks on Ukraine and the China Covid shutdowns. But it took evidence of higher than expected inflation before governments began to discuss this potential. Now many institutions and business leaders are openly discussing the potential for recession. World Bank president David Malpass is warning that “for many countries, recession will be hard to avoid.”  Jamie Diamond of JP Morgan has warned not just of potential clouds on the horizon, but an “Economic Hurricane”. Elon Musk put things in a unique way, saying he has a “super bad feeling” about the economy.

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10 May 2022

Gradually, then suddenly, the business environment has changed

In a famous line from Hemingway’s The Sun Also Rises, a character in the story is asked how he went bankrupt. His reply: “Two ways… gradually, then suddenly.”

This line is a catchy way to articulate the way compounding interest works in finance. It is also a good description for the S-Curve that is so frequently seen in adoption of technological innovations, where growth of a technology is usually slow and boring at first, then suddenly shoots up in exponential growth. Gradually then suddenly is also an apt description of many geopolitical trends. We have all been tracking a weakening economy of China, then suddenly their GDP is in decline. We gradually saw Russia posturing for invasion of Ukraine, then suddenly the invasion few anticipated occurs.

The result of all of this is a very turbulent business environment and a need for executives to seek out situational awareness to inform operational decisions. This post provides context from the OODA C-Suite report that will help drive awareness and decision making.

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12 Apr 2022

Agenda For Monthly OODA Member Meeting Friday 15 April 2022

OODA Network members are invited to participate in a monthly video call to discuss items of common interest to our membership. These highly collaborative sessions are always a great way for our members to meet and interact with each other while talking about topics like global risks, emerging technologies, cybersecurity, and current or future events impacting their organizations. We also use these sessions to help better focus our research and reporting on member needs.

There are many global risks and opportunities to discuss this month, as well as tech developments and shifts in the cybersecurity net assessment.

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06 Apr 2022

DoD Seeking Innovative Ideas on Logistics For Modern Times

Logistics has always been a critically important part of military power. But it is also, frankly, boring. There is no sizzle and little glory in moving supplies. It has always been this way. But great masters of strategy have always known the importance of transport.

Here is the way Winston Churchill put it:  “Victory is the beautiful, bright-colored flower. Transport is the stem without which it could never have blossomed.”

The US DoD operates an incredibly advanced modern logistics program, it is arguably the best in the world. But it is in continuous need of innovation. Here is what DoD wants from US industry:

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23 Feb 2022

The World’s Largest Digital Twin Modeling and Simulation Project

In late 2020, OODA Network Member Chris Ward first provided an analysis of the future of digital twins in the Navy.  Chris provided an overview of the Navy’s struggle to keep up with its goals for a software and hardware refresh on all Navy vessels. To resolve some of these issues, the Navy started to build virtual replicas of ships systems. Since Chris’ initial analysis, the Navy has embarked on the first “digital twin modeling-and-simulation effort of this size and scale ever in the world.” We conclude our analysis with considerations for your organization when initiating a digital twin prototype project.

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21 Dec 2021

Top 10 Mistakes When Setting-up an Artificial Intelligence Project

Whether you are just overwhelmed with data or just curious about what you will learn, you may be feeling the impulse to jump on the artificial intelligence (AI) bandwagon. Before you go too far down the road, please consider this Top 10 list of the most common mistakes managers make when building an AI project. This comes from long, hard lessons learned across multiple missions and IT clients over the years.

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10 Aug 2021

The False Pundits of Cyber Will Lead Us Astray If We Let Them

They’re not cybersecurity experts, but they did stay at a Holiday Inn Express last night. Because we have no common body of knowledge from which to explore and learn from prior art, you can predict like the seasons when another cohort of professionals from other disciplines will attempt to tell

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