11 Jan 2023

A Global Recession Will Ramp Up Chinese Economic Cyber Espionage

China’s economic aspirations are well known, and some experts believe China is in a rush to decouple itself from the U.S. economy, as it seeks its continued rise shifting focus from “economic growth to economic control.”  To achieve this end, China needs to separate its reliance on foreign technology by creating an indigenous alternative that is globally competitive. Indeed, Chinese president Xi has stressed the need for China to be innovative and has directed investment in technologies like chip making to help it along this course.  But China’s progress in technology has not come solely from indigenous ingenuity but has relied on a rampant espionage apparatus to steal sensitive research and intellectual property to drive its successes. 

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10 Jan 2023

With Coinbase Investigation and $100M Settlement, New York is the Tip of the Crypto Regulatory Spear

Throughout 2022, we tracked the adoption rate of global crypto and digital currency initiatives and their potential long-term impact on the global financial system. In 2023, we extend our research and analysis to the ongoing disintermediation of the global financial system, crypto and blockchain cybersecurity, enhanced security measures  – as well as the evolution of the regulatory environment. A settlement on Wednesday of last week between U.S.-based cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase, Inc and New York’s Department of Financial Services (DFS) is where we begin in 2023 in our exploration of this emergent regulatory landscape (which is no longer on the strategic horizon).

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09 Jan 2023

The Global Health, Business and Economic Implications of the Current Covid-19 Transmission Rate and Mass Casualty Event in China

Recent articles in Science Journal and Nature reference statistical models that predict the current surge of the Covid-19 virus in China will result in anywhere from 600,000 to 1.6 million deaths. The scale and duration of this surge are also bad news in the global battle with the Covid-19 virus, as the predicted infection rate of close to 1 billion people in China will provide the virus a vast sandbox for further mutation. This “mutation surface” will most likely extend the threat of new variants and related societal impacts well into 2023 – and possibly beyond.

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06 Jan 2023

Jimmy Soni on Why PayPal Was Successful

In this OODAcast, we talk with Jimmy Soni, the author of the book “The Founders: The Story of PayPal and the Entrepreneurs Who Shaped Silicon Valley”. Jimmy takes a deep, historical look at the founding story of PayPal with detailed analysis, interviews, and access that you won’t find in any other telling of the PayPal story. PayPal is a fascinating company to look at, not only to examine the PayPal business, but in looking at what emerged out of the PayPal founding team in the future. A list of companies that includes the likes of SpaceX, Tesla, Affirm, LinkedIn, YouTube, Yammer, Palantir, Kiva, Yelp, and Yammer.

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05 Jan 2023

Breakthroughs and Beyond: Technology advances in 2022 that will shape 2023

With this post Bob Gourley provides a personal assessment on the greatest technological breakthroughs of 2022. These developments are so significant we recommend all should consider how they may impact business and government strategies and operations. Review with an eye towards revisiting your plans for 2023. 

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05 Jan 2023

Space and the Future of National Security and Cybersecurity

The future of space is of keen strategic interest here at OODA Loop.  As we jumpstart our research efforts for 2023,  the following is a compilation of our most recent research, analysis, risk awareness, pattern recognition, and sensemaking efforts related to the future of space and its impact on cybersecurity and national security, and the future of American competitiveness.

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04 Jan 2023

Using OpenAI’s GPT To Produce Intelligence Reports At UnrestrictedIntelligence.com

The age of continuous crisis has placed incredible demands on intelligence analysts. Automation has not kept up in helping analysts meet the ever expanding demands for quality intelligence. Search tools for the enterprise are supposed to help intelligence analysts, but almost all broken and underperform, especially over unstructured text.

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04 Jan 2023

Time to Reconsider How State Actors are Defined in Cyberspace

Since the late 1990s, geopolitics have increasingly become a driver of hostilities between nation states and their non-state sympathizers.  Hostile cyber attacks have been influential in expressing one state’s views against another during periods of political tensions, as they have served as a signaling agent without crossing a threshold of destruction that could warrant more aggressive responses.  States have also used proxies – non-state entities closely aligned to their government benefactors – in this capacity as well, as they typically possess cyber capabilities, demonstrate unwavering loyalty, and provide at least one level of removal separating the government from proxy activities.  One thing has become abundantly clear: proxies provide another resource for states, and as such, states maintain some semblance of control over them, whether via direct order, through intelligence or military cut-outs, or allowing them to promulgate without restriction or interference.

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04 Jan 2023

The OODA Loop Series: Autonomous Everything

In a series of posts entitled Autonomous Everything, we explore automation in all its technological forms, including legacy working assumptions about the term itself.  Autonomy is not just for the future of the car and personal mobility but includes powerful platforms in a broad autonomous future.  We began the series in June at the bleeding edge of autonomous vehicles, with a description of the first autonomous ship to cross the Atlantic Ocean.

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03 Jan 2023

The Year Past and Looking into the Future at the December 2022 OODA Network Member Meeting

OODA hosts a monthly video call to help members optimize opportunities and reduce risk to discuss items of common interest to our membership. These highly collaborative sessions are always a great way for our members to meet and interact with each other while talking about topics like global risks, emerging technologies, cybersecurity, and current or future events impacting their organizations. We also use these sessions to help better focus our research and better understand member needs. The December call was held on Friday, December 16th.  Topics for discussion on the call included highlights and trends of note from 2022, and what the membership is on the lookout for in 2023.

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