It takes a fraction of a second for an explosion to rip open a hole below the waterline of a ferry carrying hundreds of passengers. In the next instant, a deck tears off and the blast bellows inside the hull, causing structural beams to give way. A terrorist strike is playing out with disastrous consequences. But so far, at least, the plot is confined to a desktop computer at the Coast Guard headquarters here. To improve security on the nation’s commuter ferries, the Coast Guard has been trying to answer some critical questions: How much explosive force would be needed to sink a big ferry? Which screening methods are most effective? How many vehicles and passengers should be screened to create a deterrent? “In terms of the probability of something happening, the likelihood of it succeeding and the consequences of if it occurring, ferries come out at the very high end,” said Joseph J. Myers, a Coast Guard risk analyst. Full Story
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