15 Dec 2021

Is Taiwan’s Five-year Quantum Computing and Talent Initiative the Wrong Strategy for the Island Nation?

Ukraine may be the Gray-zone in the headlines right now, but Taiwan is the more significant strategic hybrid warfare battlefield, in no small part due to its global leadership in semiconductor manufacturing.  Considering the hype cycle around all things Quantum, you would think it would be positive, sound strategic news that Taiwanese leaders recently announced a strategic initiative focused on quantum computing.  Here are the basics of the Taiwan Quantum Initiative with our analysis of why quantum is the wrong direction strategically for the island nation.

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23 Jun 2021

Potential Future Opportunities, Risks and Mitigation Strategies in the Age of Continuous Crisis

Now more than ever, organizations need to apply rigorous thought to business risks and opportunities. In doing so it is useful to understand the concepts embodied in the terms Black Swan and Gray Rhino. This post examines both and leads to recommended action plans for any organization in government or business who seeks to mitigate risk while focusing on opportunity.

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01 Feb 2014

JASON Study on “rare events” aka Black Swans

JASON was asked by the Department of Defense (DoD) to conduct an evaluation of the nation’s ability to anticipate and assess the risk of rare events. “Rare events” specifically refers to catastrophic terrorist events, including the use of a weapon of mass destruction or other high-profile attacks, where there is

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