Georgian leader Mikhail Saakashvili is likely to scrape an election win on Saturday in a vote the West will scrutinize for fairness, but polls differ on whether his victory will be big enough to avoid a second round. Saakashvili, who swept to power in a peaceful revolution in 2003, needs the vote to be free and fair to prove his commitment to democracy after shocking his Western allies by violently crushing anti-government street protests in November. Full Story