Featured Analysis

01 Mar 2006

Toll in Iraq’s Deadly Surge: 1,300

The convulsion of sectarian violence across Iraq that followed last week?s bombing of the Shia Askariya shrine underscores a number of concerning issues forecasted in these pages in recent months (see the February 15 WAR Report; the August 24 WAR Report and the 2006 Conflict Zones Forecast). These assessments emphasized

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01 Mar 2006

US ‘losing media war to al-Qaeda’

Providing a timely example of Donald Rumsfeld?s comments about al-Qaeda’s fast adaptation to fighting in an era of pervasive global media, an al-Qaeda propaganda organization, the Global Islamic Media Center, issued a statement on the Internet responding to his statement and seizing the opportunity to do recruit new members over

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01 Mar 2006

Afghanistan Shares Intel With Pakistan

Reports that Afghanistan shared intelligence with Pakistan on the presence of Taliban leadership and training bases in Pakistan adds evidence to support recent TRC analyses that Taliban cadres remain ensconced and are building in strength in Pakistan. The AP report offers compelling details of Afghanistan?s intelligence on the Taliban presence

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22 Feb 2006

Thai militants learn from Iraq insurgency

Based on the UPI article, it would be difficult not to conclude that Thailand is the next vanguard of global jihadist extremism following down the increasingly well-trodden path blazed by al-Qaeda globally, Jemaah Islamiya (JI) and Abu Sayyaf regionally, and Abu Musa?ab al-Zarqawi’s al-Qaeda in the Land of Two Rivers

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22 Feb 2006

US pledges to strengthen military, anti-terror cooperation with Algeria

There are a number of pragmatic reasons to cooperate closely with Algeria on counterterrorism initiatives. First, a significant number of foreign fighters in Iraq are Algerians. Some of these fighters may be members of Algeria?s al-Qaeda-aligned terrorist group, the Salafist Group for Call and Combat . That organization is also

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