What is the value of an informed decision? At OODA Loop, we seek to surface decision intelligence that provides meaningful perspective for leaders and analysts looking to make the most informed decisions possible. The topics examined in this assessment represent developments that fit the category of operating in a VUCA world, identifying and responding to Gray Rhino risks, or opportunities from advancements in emerging technology domains. These are issues we think our members should be tracking and map to collection requirements for our team to keep you as informed as possible.
On August 22, 2021, the “new” ransomware group Groove emerged on a nascent but fairly exclusive Russian-language DarkNet cybercrime forum. Groove was around for two years focusing their activities on financially motivated industrial espionage. However, what garnered substantial attention was Groove’s call to arms – calling on other extortion groups to attack U.S. interests after law enforcement shut down the group’s operations after an unknown entity hijacked their DarkNet domains. In the end, Groove proved to be an instructional disinformation hoax.
On 27 Oct 2021 OODA Network members participated in a network only salon focused on an examination of global geopolitical risks and mitigation strategies. This session provided members with an update that flowed from the OODA C-Suite Report and provided an opportunity for all present to provide inputs on areas of interest that OODA analysts should be prioritizing for the community.
Are we living in a super-VUCA world (Volatile, Uncertain, Complex, Ambiguous). To help members optimize opportunities and reduce risk in this VUCA world, OODA hosts a monthly video call to discuss items of common interest to our membership. These highly collaborative sessions are always a great way for our members to meet and interact with each other while talking about topics like global risks, emerging technologies, cybersecurity, and current or future events impacting their organizations. We also use these sessions to help better focus our research and reporting on member needs.
Microsoft officials have warned that Russia’s intelligence apparatus has been engaged in another campaign to gain unauthorized access into thousands of U.S. government, corporate, and think tank networks. The ongoing cyber-espionage campaign appears to be focused on acquiring data that is stored in the cloud.
The activity further underscores Russia’s intent to target and compromise any entity that it feels vital to supporting its intelligence interests. The target list may be expansive, as a recent Microsoft report claimed more than half of nation-state attacks detected by the company have come from Russia.