ArchiveDisruptive TechnologyOODA Original

Using OpenAI’s GPT To Produce Intelligence Reports At UnrestrictedIntelligence.com

The age of continuous crisis has placed incredible demands on intelligence analysts. Automation has not kept up in helping analysts meet the ever expanding demands for quality intelligence. Search tools for the enterprise are supposed to help intelligence analysts, but almost all broken and underperform, especially over unstructured text.

We have been reporting on hopeful new advances that can address some of these challenges. For example, new approaches to Natural Language Processing hold great potential to help (See: What Leaders Need to Know About the State of Natural Language Processing). Watching these developments closely has led us to believe very soon every enterprise will have high end AI based tools to empower their intelligence analysts with the right information for them to do their jobs.

Like the rest of the Internet we have also been evaluating the new OpenAI capabilities like GPT-3 and ChatGPT, which go beyond search to produce results to requests that can seem conversational. We have been participating in dialog with many in the OODA Network on these topics including exchanging prompts and replies from these systems that help show some of the incredible potential of these large language models.

To continue to explore the relevance of these tools to intelligence missions we built a web application designed to leverage the power of GPT-3 to the domain of intelligence analysis. The application is available for use at UnrestrictedIntelligence.com

This application is set up to allow any user to ask any question or make a request for intelligence. In response the system delivers a succinct intelligence product based on the information GPT has been trained on.

Here is a sample result when the system was tasked to “Explain in simple terms the threat from China to the US”:

This report is very basic but that is what we asked for! It certainly does not contain the wisdom of an analyst who has a deep expertise in China. But overall not bad for a robot. Consider the fact that reports like that can be produced on any country in the world in a matter of seconds. And for those that want more it is easy to interact with this system and ask iterative questions to extract insights.

Here is a sample report when asked about the threats to new manufacturing businesses in Brazil:

You can ask the Unrestricted Intelligence app any question about threat actors, future threats, adversary capabilities, adversary history. This is not limited to tasks of interest to the national intelligence community. Open source analysts and cyber threat analysts can also leverage this tool to produce fast analysis.

There are huge weaknesses in this system. The data this is trained over is all older than September 2021. And the models of GPT-3 can fail in strange ways producing results that are just wrong. Additionally, just like leaders can ask bad questions of intelligence analysts, users of this system can ask bad questions that deliver ridiculous results.

All this means the reports from the Unrestricted Intelligence site really need to be assessed by humans before any decisions are made over them.

Keep in mind that GPT-4 is expected to come out in the spring and is believed to be at least 100 times more powerful. This will make this site even more helpful to all source analysts and decision-makers in need of intelligence support.

How does it work?  The questions a user asks are wrapped in some guidance and then passed to OpenAI via their API for GPT-3. The guidance that goes with the query requests GPT respond in the language of an intelligence professional, using, to the greatest extent possible, the standards for intelligence products promulgated by the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ICD203). GPT is also tasked to use models of intelligence analysis like analysis of alternatives and to discuss potential ways that bias or deception may impact the analysis. The system also suggests follow on questions to ask GPT.

What comes next? GPT-4 is expected to come out in the spring and is believed to be at least 100 times more powerful. This will make this site even more helpful to all source analysts and decision-makers in need of intelligence support.

For now we could use some help testing the system out. Please think of hard questions to ask the system in the domains of geopolitical intelligence, cyber threat intelligence, competitive intelligence and any other subject dealing with advanced analysis. Would really appreciate your feedback.

Find the app at UnrestrictedIntelligence.com

Related Reading:

The Great GPT Leap is Disruption in Plain Sight

We Are Witnessing Another Inflection Point In How Computers Support Humanity

Explore OODA Research and Analysis

Use OODA Loop to improve your decision making in any competitive endeavor. Explore OODA Loop

Decision Intelligence

The greatest determinant of your success will be the quality of your decisions. We examine frameworks for understanding and reducing risk while enabling opportunities. Topics include Black Swans, Gray Rhinos, Foresight, Strategy, Stratigames, Business Intelligence and Intelligent Enterprises. Leadership in the modern age is also a key topic in this domain. Explore Decision Intelligence

Disruptive/Exponential Technology

We track the rapidly changing world of technology with a focus on what leaders need to know to improve decision-making. The future of tech is being created now and we provide insights that enable optimized action based on the future of tech. We provide deep insights into Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, Cloud Computing, Quantum Computing, Security Technology, Space Technology. Explore Disruptive/Exponential Tech

Security and Resiliency

Security and resiliency topics include geopolitical and cyber risk, cyber conflict, cyber diplomacy, cybersecurity, nation state conflict, non-nation state conflict, global health, international crime, supply chain and terrorism. Explore Security and Resiliency

Community

The OODA community includes a broad group of decision-makers, analysts, entrepreneurs, government leaders and tech creators. Interact with and learn from your peers via online monthly meetings, OODA Salons, the OODAcast, in-person conferences and an online forum. For the most sensitive discussions interact with executive leaders via a closed Wickr channel. The community also has access to a member only video library. Explore The OODA Community

 

Bob Gourley

Bob Gourley

Bob Gourley is the co-founder and Chief Technology Officer (CTO) of OODA LLC, the technology research and advisory firm with a focus on artificial intelligence and cybersecurity which publishes OODALoop.com. Bob is the co-host of the popular podcast The OODAcast. Bob has been an advisor to dozens of successful high tech startups and has conducted enterprise cybersecurity assessments for businesses in multiple sectors of the economy. He was a career Naval Intelligence Officer and is the former CTO of the Defense Intelligence Agency. Find Bob on Defcon.Social