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Global Drought Conditions and Food Security: Follow the Fertilizer

These days, you never know where the next strategic metric will emerge.  As OODA CEO wrote in the OODA Alamanac 2022:

“In 2022 our national decision-making apparatus will be significantly stressed as the U.S. tries to manage multiple simultaneous crises. A new Covid variant, January 6th investigation, China and Russia regional power projection, supply chain, cyber, and economic issues will create an opportunity for adversaries to push the envelope in hopes that capacity is diminished and distracted. Organizations will have to build decision, crisis, and operational resiliency informed by strategic forecasting.”

OODA Loop contributes to your efforts – signal tracking and sensemaking as part of your strategic foresight – essential to building out that organizational resiliency.  This information cumulatively acts as an early warning system that allows for decision-making and action that has an impact on an organization’s ability to change tactics and strategic focus.

Today, the global drought conditions and the food security crisis mounting in Europe will most definitely impact the food supply chain in Europe and Africa), and our strategic signal is fertilizer.  Yes, fertilizer.  More specifically,  how a global fertilizer shortage will impact crop yields, food prices, and scarcity.

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Daniel Pereira

Daniel Pereira

Daniel Pereira is research director at OODA. He is a foresight strategist, creative technologist, and an information communication technology (ICT) and digital media researcher with 20+ years of experience directing public/private partnerships and strategic innovation initiatives.